← Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1

Fire Crux MageTier 2

at Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1

decks
17 (11.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
83 31-40-12
overall winrate
44.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.4% avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
45.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1322 · median 1328 · range 1069–1527 (17 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1238 Q3 1423 1652
24% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 24% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 12.5% 7 1-6-0 14.3% 27.3% 40.5% -4.8
Water Ravishing Mill 9.7% 10 4-5-1 45.0% 46.4% 48.4% -0.7
Fire Slimes 7.6% 8 4-4-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.7% +0.3
Wind Allies 6.2% 6 2-2-2 50.0% 50.0% 47.7% -1.2
Wind Shadowstrike 6.2% 6 3-1-2 66.7% 60.0% 52.7% +1.4
Fire Exia 5.6% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 48.7% -0.7
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.9% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 48.4% -1.0
Fire Aggro 4.2% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 44.4% -3.6
Water Allies 4.2% 7 3-3-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.0
Wind Razorgale 4.2% 4 2-1-1 62.5% 56.2% 53.0% +1.9
Fire Arcane 2.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 41.4% -8.2
Water Tera Mage 2.8% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 57.0% +5.2
Wind Astra Cleric 2.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.8% -1.2
Wind Cats 2.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.1
Water Arisanna 1.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.8% -8.4
Water Astra Cleric 1.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.0% +8.0
Wind Crux Mage 1.4% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 48.4% -1.0
Wind Slimes 1.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.1
Fire Beast 0.7% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 0.7% 0
Fire Silvie 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.8% +4.5
Water Crux Mage 0.7% 0
Water Exia 0.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.9% -6.6
Water Luxem Assassin 0.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.1% -4.7
Water Penguin Mill 0.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.9% -9.8
Water Umbra Ranger 0.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.6% -2.3
Wind Crux Lorraine 0.7% 0
Wind Exia 0.7% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.7% 0
Wind Silvie 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.8% +6.0
Wind Tera Kongming 0.7% 0
Decklists · 17 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Fragmented Spirit of Fire +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit of Fire -1.00 0 1 0
Alkahest -1.00 0 1 0
Purge in Flames +1.00 1 0 0
Incarnate Majesty +1.00 1 0 0
Mystic Purifier -1.00 0 1 0
Exorcise Curses -1.00 0 1 0
Ignite Fate -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Repelling Palmblast -1.00 0 1 0
Gentle Respite +1.00 1 0 0
Flame-Rune Swordsman +1.00 1 0 0
Thunderclap -1.00 0 1 0
Crux Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Stalwart Shieldmate +1.00 1 0 0
Scavenging Raccoon +1.00 1 0 0
Disintegrate +1.00 1 0 0
Fast Cure +1.00 1 0 0
Sudden Steel +1.00 1 0 0
Potion Infusion: Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Cremation Ritual -1.00 0 1 0
Spark Alight +1.00 1 0 0
Shard of Empowerment -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Tome of Sorcery +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Indolent Leisure -1.00 0 1 0
Heighten Spellcraft +1.00 1 0 0
Library Witch -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/13918/archetypes/Fire Crux Mage